Which way? A Gold Timing exercise

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by themickey, Nov 4, 2021.

  1. themickey

    themickey

    upload_2023-12-18_5-7-29.png

    There's been much excitement lately with gold making new All Time Highs on Dec 4th at 2122.65 according to Barchart.com, the previous ATH was on 8th March 2022 at 2065.89.

    We are near to the end of the 2023 year, with 9 US trading days to go.

    My call for last day of December (29th Dec 2023), gold price will finish below 1987.00.
    That gung ho prediction made on this premise: "Gold just loves to screw the gold bugs around."
     
    #371     Dec 17, 2023
  2. themickey

    themickey

    Looks like I'm gonna be wrong, but that's normal with what I think gold is doing.
    ^XAUUSD_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_12_28_2023.png
    3 rising months in a row, that's not too common with gold.
     
    #372     Dec 27, 2023
    murray t turtle likes this.
  3. %%
    MAYBE a bit subjectiVe;
    but the energy drink ''Gold Top '' =good name anyway:D:D
     
    #373     Dec 27, 2023
  4. themickey

    themickey

    upload_2024-1-16_5-34-58.png
    There's a very high probability imo of gold price swinging up from here on a new upleg and Newmont is about 1 day late to react.
     
    #374     Jan 15, 2024
  5. themickey

    themickey

    upload_2024-1-16_5-38-5.png
    Gold cash, 1 year daily chart, target about 2200 imo in March 2024, I think 2300 would be stretching it too far but is doable.
     
    Last edited: Jan 15, 2024
    #375     Jan 15, 2024
  6. themickey

    themickey

    Got that call wrong so far.
    Prolly best maybe, just look at Newmont (largest gold company) and figure out where it's going.
    Looking at Quarterly, the current trend is down with lower lows. But this newly formed Quarter we are in, will it turn before it breaks below the former Quarter?

    Can this Quarter turn around to higher highs and higher lows?
    We'll soon find out, not far to go.

    NEM_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_01_18_2024.png

    GCY00_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_01_18_2024.png
    GC Cash has plenty of room to come down.
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2024
    #376     Jan 17, 2024
  7. themickey

    themickey

    So Newmont last Quarter fell while GC went up.
    An interpretation could be a rising gold price has no conviction?
    Gold prices rise while companies fall.

    GDX_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_01_18_2024.png

    GDX
     
    #377     Jan 17, 2024
  8. themickey

    themickey

    ^XAGUSD_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_05_03_2024.png
    Silver, probably as close as it gets to a bottom....?
     
    #378     May 2, 2024
  9. nitrene

    nitrene

    Good call on Silver. Its up 20% since May 2. It hit $32+ tonight. Seems like all the metals are 2%+ higher ecept Gold +0.8%. Silver up almost 5%.
     
    #379     May 27, 2024
    semperfrosty likes this.