you forgot option 4, You are entering the trade to soon and not following your rules therefore you are not getting in when the move is nearly exhausted.
Yes, without a doubt, late entry is a big problem. When you see the signal (if you did your homework) you need to believe it, and then act on it. "he who hesitates is lost" is the old saying. Steve
You're alot braver then me... breakout near 75-86 is keeping me long ( from 942 fwiw)... stop @84 as of 12:28 MST good luck
My problem is hesitation too and it's not due to lack of preparation. I read the market correct this morning but did I act on it???